For the first time since 1967, there will be no prologue and sprinters will find it hard to shine in the first week, with mostly hilly stages favouring the audacious.
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More of a wise tactician than an attacker, Silence-Lotto's Evans believes he will win the race in the time trials.
"Logically, the time trials are where I should do best, and where I should be able to win the Tour," he said.
However, with a team unlikely to control the race as seven-times winner Lance Armstrong's teams did from 1999 to 2005, Evans will be attacked from everywhere.