Study: Smartwatch Data Offers Scalable Way to Detect Early Diabetes Risk

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March 18, 2026 17:31 IST

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A groundbreaking study demonstrates how data from smartwatches can be used to predict insulin resistance and detect early signs of diabetes, paving the way for proactive health management.

Key Points

  • A new study proposes using smartwatch data to predict insulin resistance, a key indicator of diabetes risk.
  • The research utilises data from smartwatches, demographics, and blood biomarkers to assess metabolic health.
  • The 'IR agent,' a large language model, provides personalised recommendations based on smartwatch data and lifestyle factors.
  • Continuous data collection by smartwatches captures fluctuations in activity, sleep, and heart function, offering a more comprehensive view of metabolic health.
  • Early detection of insulin resistance through smartwatch analysis could enable timely lifestyle interventions to prevent type-2 diabetes.

A study has put forth a scalable and accessible framework for analysing data from wearable devices like smartwatches to detect early sign of diabetes.

Scientists from US-based Google Research predicted insulin resistance among 1,165 participants using data collected from smartwatches, together with demographic and routine blood biomarker information including fasting glucose and lipid profile.

 

Participants with insulin resistance have higher risk of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, hyperlipidaemia and hypertension, authors said in the study published in the Nature journal.

Experiments showed that fasting glucose alone is not sufficient for estimating insulin resistance, highlighting the importance of lifestyle factors, they said.

"In this study, we present a method for predicting IR (insulin resistance) using signals derived from a consumer smartwatch, demographics and routinely measured blood biomarkers. This method has the potential to be scaled to millions of people, and to enable widespread identification of IR," the authors wrote.

"We assembled a large cohort (n=1,165) with a combined set of data from wearable devices, together with demographics and blood biomarkers, and a ground-truth measure of IR," they said.

The 'IR Agent' and Personalised Recommendations

The team also developed a large language model called 'IR agent' that combines the assessment model's results with lifestyle and biomarker data to provide holistic insights into one's metabolic health and diabetes risk, and offers personalised recommendations.

"This work establishes a scalable, accessible framework for early detection of metabolic risk, which could enable timely lifestyle interventions to prevent progression to type-2 diabetes," the authors said.

Expert Commentary on Smartwatch Metabolic Health Monitoring

In a 'News and Views' article published in the Nature journal, Christopher M Hartshorn from the US' National Institutes of Health (NIH) and not involved in the study, said rather than a snapshot, this study offers "something closer to a 'movie' of (one's) metabolic health".

Continuously collected data by smartwatches can capture fluctuations in activity, sleep and heart function over time that reflect cumulative demands of metabolic regulation, he said.

"By drawing on continuous signals from daily life, the authors' approach highlights physiological strain that is invisible to episodic testing," Hartshorn said.

Identifying insulin resistance -- a key sign of diabetes -- could possibly enable simpler interventions and, ultimately, reduce the downstream burden of metabolic disease, the author said.