US job growth increased at a fairly brisk clip in October and the unemployment rate fell to a fresh six-year low of 5.8 per cent, underscoring the economy’s resilience in the face of slowing global demand.
Despite the strengthening labour market picture, wage growth remained tepid, suggesting the Federal Reserve would be in no hurry to start lifting interest rates.
Employers added 214,000 new jobs to their payrolls last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. The unemployment rate fell from 5.9 per cent, even as more people entered the labour force, a sign of strength in the jobs market.
Data for August and September were revised to show 31,000 more jobs created than previously reported.
“Today’s jobs report confirms that the US remains the bright spot in a global economic picture filling with clouds,” said Michael Griffin, managing director at CEB in Arlington, Virginia.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 231,000 new jobs last month and for the unemployment rate to hold steady.
US stock index futures edged up on the data. Prices for US Treasury bond prices fell slightly and the dollar was little changed.
Monthly job growth has exceeded 200,000 for nine straight months, the longest stretch since 1994, sufficient strength to keep the economy on a higher growth path after it expanded at a 3.5 per cent pace in the third quarter.
The Fed last month struck a fairly upbeat tune on the jobs picture as it ended its bond buying program, dropping its characterisation of labour market slack as “significant” and replacing it with “gradually diminishing.” Sturdy job gains on their own, however, will probably not be enough to convince the US central bank to start raising interest rates before the second half of 2015 given a still low level of inflation.
Wages still sluggish
Wage growth is the missing piece of the jobs recovery and without significant increases, most economists say the Fed will be in no rush to lift benchmark lending rates that it has kept near zero since December 2008.
The employment report showed that average hourly earnings rose only three cents last month, leaving the year-on-year change at 2.0 per cent, the range its been in for the last few years. But other data have begun to show wage growth picking up.
Details of the October employment report were fairly upbeat.
The labour force participation rate and the ranks of the long-term unemployed both improved. These metrics are on Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s so-called dashboard and are being watched for clues on the timing of the first rate hike.
The participation rate, or the share of working-age Americans who are employed or at least looking for a job, increased by one-tenth of percentage point to 62.8 per cent, bouncing back after two straight months of declines.
The employment-to-population ratio increased to 59.2, the highest level since July 2009. The number of long-term unemployed people was the lowest since January 2009.
A broad measure of joblessness that includes people who want to work but have given up searching and those working part-time because they cannot find full-time employment fell to 11.5 percent, the lowest level since September 2008.
As for job gains, they were broad-based in line with the recent trend. Private-sector employment increased by 209,000, with a second straight month of gains in manufacturing and an increase in construction.
Retail hiring advanced by 27,100 as stores gear up for a busy holiday shopping season. There was little sign that the closure of casinos in New Jersey had impacted leisure and hospitality sector employment, with payrolls in the sector rising 52,000.
Government employment increased 5,000 last month.
