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Home  » Cricket » World Cup Blog: Hogg senses Australia will miss final

World Cup Blog: Hogg senses Australia will miss final

By Rediff Sports Desk
March 03, 2015 11:36 IST
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A selection of musings from around the cricket World Cup

 Aaron Finch, Mitchell Marsh, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc, Pat Cummins, Mitchell Johnson and David Warner of Australia pose during a portrait session

From left: Aaron Finch, Mitchell Marsh, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc, Pat Cummins, Mitchell Johnson and David Warner of Australia pose during a portrait session at Mount Eden. Photograph: Ryan Pierse/Getty Images

It's only a gut feeling, but veteran spinner Brad Hogg reckons Australia will miss the World  Cup final, and India will win the showpiece event.

The World Cup, as never before on Rediff.com

- VOTE: Who will win the 2015 World Cup?

Australia's World Cup campaign has been far from smooth, with their washout against Bangladesh  and one-wicket loss to New Zealand leaving them languishing in fourth spot in Pool A.

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Spinners, streakers and were England right?

Fans

Zimbabwe fans show their support during the 2015 ICC Cricket World Cup match between Zimbabwe and the United Arab Emirates at Saxton Field in Nelson, New Zealand. Photograph: Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images

Now two weeks old, the World Cup has seen dazzling displays from AB de Villiers and Chris  Gayle, debate over whether the likes of Ireland and Afghanistan should be included next time  and familiar English disappointment.

The tournament is 23 games into a 49-match marathon, and takes a rest on Monday. With nearly all of the 14 teams at least halfway through their group fixtures, what have we learned?

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Limited overs, unlimited runs: World Cup a time of T-plenty

Chris Gayle celebrates

Chris Gayle celebrates his double century against Zimbabwe at the Manuka Oval. Photograph: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images

The way to succeed in this World Cup is patent: bat first, make at least 300, or lose.

There have been 13 completed matches between Test nations. Nine times, batting first and  making 300-plus has been more than enough. Once, it was not. The other variation is New  Zealand, which twice has won after bowling first and skittling opponents for 150 or less. The  exception to all these rules was the most recent match, in which 7-235 proved to be a winning  score for Pakistan against struggling Zimbabwe.

Poor old England can tell you all the ways to lose: they have succumbed by failing to chase  300-plus, by failing to defend 300-plus, and by collapsing for 123. Fleet Street is letting  them know it.

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England cricket verdict: Don't bring back Kevin Pietersen, forget stats and go for broke in bid to solve World Cup problems

England captain Eoin Morgan leads his team

England captain Eoin Morgan leads his team off at the end of the ICC World Cup match against Sri Lanka. Photograph: Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

England are the embarrassment of the World Cup after a third humiliating defeat in three  matches against Australia, New Zealand and Sri Lanka.

Sportsmail's panel of experts — Nasser Hussain, David Lloyd, cricket correspondent Paul Newman  and cricket writer and Wisden editor Lawrence Booth — discuss the big questions arising from  another World Cup failure.

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