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February 02, 2009

Aussies are no longer kings

M J Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle

The alarm bells first rang about a year ago when Dhoni's India defeated Australia in 'straight sets' in the best of three finals of the Commonwealth Bank Series. Now, after losing 4-1 to a depleted South African side at home, Australia have well and truly fallen off the pedestal.

South Africa (69.13) now lead the table in the Rediff ODI Rankings, ahead of Australia (65.36). New Zealand (64.92), who won a close series at home against the West Indies, are third.

New Zealand however face a tough away series in Australia and should lose the third spot to India (59.16), especially if India can win the ongoing series in Sri Lanka.

Sri Lanka (48.98) gained a little after vanquishing Pakistan (50.67), but had to struggle to defeat a rejuvenated Bangladesh side in the Tri-Nation tournament.

Bangladesh (14.05) continued their good form to defeat Zimbabwe (11.41) in the home series and overtake them in the Rediff ODI Rankings.

Table A shows the current ODI rankings.

TABLE A: CURRENT ODI RANKINGS (as on January 31, 2009)

Team WI TI ODI RBI=
WI * 0.80 + TI * 0.20 diff: 15.11.08 -> 31.1.09 Ranking
South Africa 66.41 80.00 69.13 +7.59 1

Australia 66.70 60.00 65.36 -5.57 2

New Zealand 56.15 100.00 64.92 +1.76 3

India 55.20 75.00 59.16 +0.31 4

Pakistan 49.05 57.14 50.67 -1.64 5

Sri Lanka 46.23 60.00 48.98 +1.98 6

England 44.95 25.00 40.96 -0.62 7

West Indies 41.31 20.00 37.05 +3.22 8
Bangladesh 13.40 16.67 14.05 +6.20 9

Zimbabwe 14.26 0.00 11.41 +3.12 10

The corresponding Reliance Mobile ICC ODI rankings (as on January 30, 2008) are South Africa (125), Australia (125), India (120), New Zealand (113), Pakistan (111), England (108), Sri Lanka (106), West Indies (91), Bangladesh (46) and Zimbabwe (20).

Details

The Rediff ODI rating, now published regularly over the last seven years, is a judicious combination of every team's weighted index (WI) and tournament index (TI).

The WI, based on the most recent ODI encounters between every pair of teams as shown in Table B, is essentially a weighted average that considers the 'opposition strength' (because wins against strong opponents must be rewarded more) and the 'home-away-neutral' factors (because teams usually win more at home, and lose more playing 'away').

The TI factors in a team's performance in tournaments and series (and thereby seeks to better reward wins in 'big' matches).

TABLE B: ODI SCORECARD (as on January 31, 2009; used to compute WI)

Aus Ban Eng Ind NZ Pak RSA SL WI Zim

Australia H
A
N
3 / 3
3 / 3
3 / 4
3 / 6
4 / 7
2 / 2
2.5/6
4.5/7
1.5 / 2
2.5/3
0 / 3
2 / 2
4 / 5
0 / 0
1 / 1
1 / 5
2 / 5
2 / 2
3 / 4
3 / 5
4 / 4
2.5/3
5 / 5
3 / 5
3.5/4
4 / 4
0 / 0

Bangladesh H
A
N
0 / 3
0 / 3
1 / 4
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 1
0 / 3
0 / 0
1 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 4
0 / 6
0 / 2
0 / 3
0 / 2
1 / 2
1 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 4
0.5/3
0 / 4
0 / 2
2 / 4
5 / 9
1 / 1

England H
A
N
3 /7
3 / 6
0 / 2
3 / 3
3 / 3
1 / 1
4 / 7
0 / 5
0 / 2
1.5/5
1.5/5
2 / 5
2.5/5
2 / 5
1 / 1
4 / 4
2 / 7
0 / 1
0 / 5
3 / 5
3 / 5
1 / 3
3.5/6
1 / 1
1.5/3
4 / 4
1 / 1

India H
A
N
2.5/7
3.5/6
0.5 / 2
0 / 0
3 / 3
1 / 3
5/ 5
3 / 7
2 / 2
1.5/3
2 / 7
1 / 3
3 / 5
5 / 7
2 / 4
2 / 4
0 / 4
2 / 3
2 / 3
3 / 5
3.5/ 6
3 / 5
1 / 5
3 / 4
3 / 5
2 / 2
4 / 4

New Zealand H
A
N
3 / 3
0.5/3
0 / 2
3 / 3
3 / 3
3 / 3
3.5/5
3.5/5
3 / 5
5 / 7
1.5/3
2 / 3
4 / 5
0 / 5
1 / 1
5 / 6
1/3
2 / 2
2/4
0 / 0
0 / 2
3 / 5
2.5/6
3 / 4
1 / 3
2 / 2
1 / 1

Pakistan H
A
N
0 / 0
1 / 5
0 / 1
6 / 6
4 / 4
2 / 2
3 / 5
2.5/5
0 / 1
2 / 7
2 / 5
2 / 4
5 / 5
1 / 5
0 / 1
2 / 5
1 / 4
0 / 1
1 / 3
2.5/3
2 / 3
3 / 4
3 / 4
3 / 3
5 / 5
5 / 5
3 / 3

South Africa H
A
N
3 /5
4 / 5
2 / 2
2 /2
3 / 3
1 / 2
5 / 7
0 / 4
1 / 1
4 / 4
2/ 4
1 / 3
2/3
1 / 6
0 / 2
3 / 4
3 / 5
1 / 1
4.5/6
0 / 5
4 / 6
5/5
6 / 6
0 / 1
3 / 3
3 / 3
3 / 3

Sri Lanka H
A
N
2 / 5
1 / 4
0 / 4
3 / 3
2 / 3
4 / 4
2 / 5
5 / 5
2 / 5
2 / 5
1 / 3
2.5 / 6
0 / 0
2 / 4
2 / 2
0.5/3
2 / 3
1 / 3
5 / 5
1.5/6
2 / 6
1 / 2
0.5/3
1 / 1
2 / 2
5 / 5
2 / 2

West Indies H
A
N
0 / 5
0.5/3
2 / 5
4 / 4
2.5/3
2 / 2
2.5/6
2 / 3
0 / 1
4 / 5
2 / 5
1 / 4
3.5/6
2 / 5
1 / 4
1 / 4
1 / 4
0 / 3
0 / 6
0/5
1 / 1
2.5/3
1 / 2
0 / 1
6.5/7
3 / 4
1 / 1

Zimbabwe H
A
N
0 / 4
0.5/4
0 / 0
4 / 9
2 / 4
0 / 1
0 / 4
1.5/3
0 / 1
0 / 2
2 / 5
0 / 4
0 / 2
2 / 3
0 / 1
0 / 5
0 / 5
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 5
0 / 2
0 / 2
1 / 4
0.5/7
0 / 1

The TI is currently based on a time 'window' spanning the last 12-13 months; i.e. the period January 2008 to January 2009 (see Table C).

TABLE C: TOURNAMENT POINTS TALLY (as on January 31, 2009; used to compute TI)

Team SA vs WI
Jan-
Feb 08 NZ vs E
Feb 08 CB Ser
Feb-
Mar 08 B vs SA
Mar 08 WI vs SL
Apr 08 P vs B
Apr 08 KitPly
Ser
Jun 08 E vs NZ
Jun 08 WI vs A
Jun-
Jul 08 Asia
Cup
Jun-
Jul 08 SL vs I
Aug 08 E vs SA
Aug-
Sep 08 A vs B
Aug-
Sep 08 B vs NZ
Oct 08 SA vs B
Nov 08 WI vs
P
Nov 08 I vs E
Nov 08 Z vs SL
Nov 08 NZ vs WI
Dec 08-
Jan 09 Tri-Nation
Jan 09 B vs Z
Jan 09 P vs SL
Jan 09 A vs SA
Jan 09 Score TI

Australia 1 / 2 1 / 1 1 / 1 0 / 1 3 / 5 60.00

Bangladesh 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 2 0 / 2 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 2 1 / 1 2 / 12 16.67

England 0 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 4 25.00

India 2 / 2 1 / 2 1 / 2 1 / 1 1 / 1 6 / 8 75.00

New Zealand 1 / 1 1 / 1 1 / 1 1 / 1 4 / 4 100.00

Pakistan 1 / 1 2 / 2 0 / 2 1 / 1 0 / 1 4 / 7 57.14

South Africa 1 / 1 1 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 1 1 / 1 4 / 5 80.00

Sri Lanka 0 / 2 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 / 1 1 / 1 2 / 2 1 / 1 6 / 10 60.00

West Indies 0 / 1 1 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 5 20.00

Zimbabwe 0 / 1 0 / 2 0 / 1 0 / 4 0.00

Our next update will appear after the ongoing Sri Lanka - India series in Sri Lanka.