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December 15, 2008

India still fourth

M J Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle

Even a resounding 5-0 win against England at home has not helped India (58.85) climb in the Rediff ODI rankings. They stay fourth and that is because India had beaten England by a similar margin (6-1) when the English team last played in India.

Sri Lanka (46.90) defeated Zimbabwe 5-0 away. Even this too did not translate into any real gain because Sri Lanka always defeat Zimbabwe 5-0.

Australia (70.93) hold on to the top position, with New Zealand (63.16) and South Africa (61.54) behind them.

New Zealand are a bit of a puzzle; they play ODI cricket rather well, especially at home, but can't reproduce the same performance in Test matches. At home, New Zealand have humbled the mighty Australians 3-0 and the South Africans 5-1 during their most recent series encounters.

Table A shows the current ODI rankings.

TABLE A: CURRENT ODI RANKINGS (as on December 15, 2008)

Team WI TI ODI RBI=
WI * 0.80 + TI * 0.20 diff: 21.11 -> 15.12.08/font> Ranking

Australia 68.66 80.00 70.93 +0.27 1

New Zealand 58.95 80.00 63.16 +1.94 2

South Africa 58.17 75.00 61.54 -0.81 2

India 54.81 75.00 58.85 +0.00 4

Pakistan 47.53 71.43 52.31 +1.01 5

Sri Lanka 47.91 42.86 46.90 +1.07 6

England 45.73 25.00 41.58 -1.95 7

West Indies 36.04 25.00 33.83 -3.20 8

Zimbabwe 10.36 0.00 8.29 -0.29 9

Bangladesh 9.81 0.00 7.85 -0.02 10

The corresponding Reliance Mobile ICC ODI rankings (as on December 15, 2008) are Australia (131), South Africa (119), India (119), Pakistan (114), New Zealand (113), England (108), Sri Lanka (107), West Indies (91), Bangladesh (47) and Zimbabwe (13).

We must mention that the Rediff ODI Rankings are not as volatile as the official Reliance Mobile ODI Rankings, and look at a performance window of at least one year.

Details

The Rediff ODI rating, now published regularly over the last seven years, is a judicious combination of every team's weighted index (WI) and tournament index (TI).

The WI, based on the most recent ODI encounters between every pair of teams as shown in Table B, is essentially a weighted average that considers the 'opposition strength' (because wins against strong opponents must be rewarded more) and the 'home-away-neutral' factors (because teams usually win more at home, and lose more playing 'away').

The TI factors in a team's performance in tournaments and series (and thereby seeks to better reward wins in 'big' matches).

TABLE B: ODI SCORECARD (as on December 15, 2008; used to compute WI)

Aus Ban Eng Ind NZ Pak RSA SL WI Zim

Australia H
A
N
3 / 3
3 / 3
3 / 4
3 / 6
4 / 7
2 / 2
2.5/6
4.5/7
1.5 / 2
2.5/3
0 / 3
2 / 2
4 / 5
0 / 0
1 / 1
3 / 4
2 / 5
2 / 2
3 / 4
3 / 5
4 / 4
2.5/3
5 / 5
3 / 5
3.5/4
4 / 4
0 / 0

Bangladesh H
A
N
0 / 3
0 / 3
1 / 4
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 1
0 / 3
0 / 0
1 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 4
0 / 6
0 / 2
0 / 3
0 / 2
1 / 2
1 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 4
0.5/3
0 / 4
0 / 2
5 / 5
5 / 9
1 / 1

England H
A
N
3 /7
3 / 6
0 / 2
3 / 3
3 / 3
1 / 1
4 / 7
0 / 5
0 / 2
1.5/5
1.5/5
2 / 5
2.5/5
2 / 5
1 / 1
4 / 4
2 / 7
0 / 1
0 / 5
3 / 5
3 / 5
1 / 3
3.5/6
1 / 1
1.5/3
4 / 4
1 / 1

India H
A
N
2.5/7
3.5/6
0.5 / 2
0 / 0
3 / 3
1 / 3
5/ 5
3 / 7
2 / 2
1.5/3
2 / 7
1 / 3
3 / 5
5 / 7
2 / 4
2 / 4
0 / 4
2 / 3
2 / 3
3 / 5
3.5/ 6
3 / 5
1 / 5
3 / 4
3 / 5
2 / 2
4 / 4

New Zealand H
A
N
3 / 3
0.5/3
0 / 2
3 / 3
3 / 3
3 / 3
3.5/5
3.5/5
3 / 5
5 / 7
1.5/3
2 / 3
4 / 5
0 / 5
1 / 1
5 / 6
1/3
2 / 2
2/4
0 / 0
0 / 2
4 / 5
2.5/6
3 / 4
1 / 3
2 / 2
1 / 1

Pakistan H
A
N
0 / 0
1 / 5
0 / 1
6 / 6
4 / 4
2 / 2
3 / 5
2.5/5
0 / 1
2 / 7
2 / 5
2 / 4
5 / 5
1 / 5
0 / 1
2 / 5
1 / 4
0 / 1
2 / 4
2.5/3
2 / 3
3 / 4
3 / 4
3 / 3
5 / 5
5 / 5
3 / 3

South Africa H
A
N
3 /5
1 / 4
2 / 2
2 /2
3 / 3
1 / 2
5 / 7
0 / 4
1 / 1
4 / 4
2/ 4
1 / 3
2/3
1 / 6
0 / 2
3 / 4
3 / 5
1 / 1
4.5/6
0 / 5
4 / 6
5/5
6 / 6
0 / 1
3 / 3
3 / 3
3 / 3

Sri Lanka H
A
N
2 / 5
1 / 4
0 / 4
3 / 3
2 / 3
4 / 4
2 / 5
5 / 5
2 / 5
2 / 5
1 / 3
2.5 / 6
0 / 0
2 / 4
2 / 2
0.5/3
2 / 4
1 / 3
5 / 5
1.5/6
2 / 6
1 / 2
0.5/3
1 / 1
2 / 2
5 / 5
1 / 1

West Indies H
A
N
0 / 5
0.5/3
2 / 5
4 / 4
2.5/3
2 / 2
2.5/6
2 / 3
0 / 1
4 / 5
2 / 5
1 / 4
3.5/6
1 / 5
1 / 4
1 / 4
1 / 4
0 / 3
0 / 6
0/5
1 / 1
2.5/3
1 / 2
0 / 1
6.5/7
3 / 4
1 / 1

Zimbabwe H
A
N
0 / 4
0.5/4
0 / 0
4 / 9
0 / 5
0 / 1
0 / 4
1.5/3
0 / 1
0 / 2
2 / 5
0 / 4
0 / 2
2 / 3
0 / 1
0 / 5
0 / 5
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 3
0 / 5
0 / 2
0 / 1
1 / 4
0.5/7
0 / 1

The TI is currently based on a time 'window' spanning the last 12-13 months; i.e. the period December 2007 to December 2008 (see Table C).

TABLE C: TOURNAMENT POINTS TALLY (as on December 15, 2008; used to compute TI)

Team A vs NZ
Dec 07 NZ vs B
Dec 07 P vs Z
Jan 08 SA vs WI
Jan-
Feb 08 NZ vs E
Feb 08 CB Ser
Feb-
Mar 08 B vs SA
Mar 08 WI vs SL
Apr 08 P vs B
Apr 08 KitPly
Ser
Jun 08 E vs NZ
Jun 08 WI vs A
Jun-
Jul 08 Asia
Cup
Jun-
Jul 08 SL vs I
Aug 08 E vs SA
Aug-
Sep 08 A vs B
Aug-
Sep 08 B vs NZ
Oct 08 SA vs B
Nov 08 WI vs
P
Nov 08 I vs E
Nov 08 Z vs SL
Nov 08 Score TI

Australia 1 / 1; 1 / 2 1 / 1 1 / 1 4 / 5 80.00

Bangladesh 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 2 0 / 2 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 10 0.00

England 0 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 4 25.00

India 2 / 2 1 / 2 1 / 2 1 / 1 1 / 1 6 / 8 75.00

New Zealand 0 / 1 1 / 1 1 / 1 1 / 1 1 / 1 4 / 5 80.00

Pakistan 1 / 1 1 / 1 2 / 2 0 / 2 1 / 1 5 / 7 71.43

South Africa 1 / 1 1 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 1 3 / 4 75.00

Sri Lanka 0 / 2 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 / 1 1 / 1 3 / 7 42.86

West Indies 0 / 1 1 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 1 1 / 4 25.00

Zimbabwe 0 / 1 0 / 1 0 / 2 0.00

Our next update will appear after the New Zealand-West Indies later this month and Australia-South Africa ODI series in January 2009.