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November 17, 2005
India will stay fifthM J Manohar Rao and Srinivas Bhogle
Unless India (45.59) lose all five matches to South Africa (59.68) in the ongoing one-day international series, they will stay fifth in the Rediff ODI rankings. South Africa will be second even if they lose all the four remaining matches.
After their convincing home win against Sri Lanka, India jumped from the eighth to the fifth position. South Africa too climbed from the fourth to the second place after swamping New Zealand at home.
Table A shows the current Rediff ODI rankings.
| TABLE A: CURRENT ODI RANKINGS (as on Nov 17,
2005) |
| Team |
WI |
TI |
ODI
RBI=
WI * 0.80265 + TI * 0.19735 |
Shift in rank
8.9.05 --> 17.11.05 |
Ranking |
| Australia |
76.90 |
83.33 |
78.17 |
1 --> 1 |
1 |
| South Africa |
49.77 |
100.00 |
59.68 |
4 --> 2 |
2 |
| Sri Lanka |
49.46 |
66.67 |
52.85 |
2 --> 3 |
3 |
| Pakistan |
46.50 |
75.00 |
52.12 |
4 --> 4 |
4 |
| India |
44.51 |
50.00 |
45.59 |
8 --> 5 |
5 |
| New Zealand |
39.66 |
50.00 |
41.70 |
6 --> 6 |
6 |
| England |
39.04 |
37.50 |
38.74 |
5 --> 7 |
7 |
| West Indies |
32.72 |
0.00 |
26.26 |
7 --> 8 |
8 |
| Zimbabwe |
11.53 |
0.00 |
9.26 |
9 --> 9 |
9 |
There have been some big changes in positions chiefly because the ICC Champions Trophy held in September 2004 goes out of the 12-month 'window' of reckoning while calculating the tournament index. That's why West Indies, who won the tournament but won nothing there after, drop to eighth place. England, the finalist in the ICC Champions Trophy, too have dropped two places.
The corresponding ICC ODI ratings (as on Nov 17, 2005) are Australia (136), South Africa (122), Pakistan (116), Sri Lanka (109), England (109), New Zealand (108), India (106), West Indies (90) and Zimbabwe (44).
India can climb to the fourth place in the LG ICC ODI ratings if they beat South Africa 3-2 or better. If India lose the series, then they'll still be seventh, or at best sixth. As always, the 'middle' is terribly crowded in the LG ICC ODI ratings.
Details
The weighted index (WI) is calculated based on the ODI scorecard
that appears below as Table B. We essentially compute a weighted average taking into account the 'opposition strength' factor and the 'home-away-neutral' results of the most recent encounters between every pair of teams.
| TABLE B: ODI
SCORECARD (as on Nov 17, 2005) |
| |
| |
Aus |
Eng |
Ind |
NZ |
Pak |
RSA |
SL |
WI |
Zim |
|
Australia |
H
A
N
|
|
6 /
6
3.5 / 6
1 /
2
|
5 /
6
3 / 4
2 /
2
|
2 /
5
5 / 5
6 /
6
|
5 /
8
0 / 0
5 /
5
|
3 / 4
5.5 /
7
0 / 0
|
3 / 4
3 /
5
2 / 3
|
2.5/ 3
4 /
7
0 / 0
|
3 / 3
4
/ 4
0 / 0
|
| England |
H
A
N
|
2.5 /
6
0 / 6
1 /
2
|
|
3 /
6
3 / 6
0 /
2
|
0 / 2
2
/ 5
0 / 0
|
2 /
6
1 / 3
1 /
1
|
3 / 4
2
/ 7
0 / 0
|
3 /
4
0 / 4
3 /
4
|
1 /
4
2 / 4
0 /
0
|
2 /
3
4 / 4
1 /
1
|
| India |
H
A
N
|
1 /
4
1 / 6
0 /
2
|
3 /
6
3 / 6
2 /
2
|
|
1 /
2
2 / 7
1 /
3
|
2 /
6
3 / 5
1 /
4
|
3 / 5
1
/ 4
3 / 6
|
6 /
7
0 / 3
4 /
4
|
3 /
7
2 / 3
2 /
2
|
3 /
5
2 / 2
5 /
5
|
| New Zealand |
H
A
N
|
0 /
5
3 / 5
0 /
6
|
3 / 5
2 /
2
0 / 0
|
5 /
7
1 / 2
2 /
3
|
|
4 /
5
0 / 8
2 /
7
|
5 /
6
0.5 / 5
1 /
6
|
2 /
6
1 / 5
2 /
5
|
5 /
5
1 / 4
3 /
3
|
1 /
3
2 / 2
2 /
2
|
| Pakistan |
H
A
N
|
0 /
0
3 / 8
0 /
5
|
2 /
3
4 / 6
0 /
1
|
2 /
5
4 / 6
3 /
4
|
8 /
8
1 / 5
5 /
7
|
|
2 /
5
1 / 5
0 /
2
|
2 /
3
1 / 4
6 /
11
|
0 /
0
3 / 3
4 / 7
|
2 /
2
5 / 5
4 /
4
|
| South Africa |
H
A
N
|
1.5 /7
1 / 4
0 / 0
|
5 / 7
1 /
4
0 / 0
|
3 / 4
2 /
5
3 / 6
|
4.5/
5
1 / 6
5 /
6
|
4 /
5
3 / 5
2 /
2
|
|
4.5 /
6
0 / 5
0 /
3
|
3 / 5
5 /
5
1 / 2
|
3 /
3
3 / 3
1 /
1
|
| Sri Lanka |
H
A
N
|
2 /
5
1 / 4
1 /
3
|
4 /
4
1 / 4
1 /
4
|
3 /
3
1 / 7
0 /
4
|
4 /
5
4 / 6
3 /
5
|
3 /
4
1 / 3
5 /
11
|
5 /
5
1.5 / 6
3 /
3
|
|
1 /
2
2 / 3
2 /
2
|
2 /
2
5 / 5
3 /
4
|
| West Indies |
H
A
N
|
3 / 7
0.5/
3
0 / 0
|
2 /
4
3 / 4
0 /
0
|
1 /
3
4 / 7
0 /
2
|
3 /
4
0 / 5
0 /
3
|
0 / 3
0 /
0
3 / 7
|
0 / 5
2
/ 5
1 / 2
|
1 /
3
1 / 2
0 /
2
|
|
2 /
2
5 / 7
4 /
6
|
| Zimbabwe |
H
A
N
|
0 /
4
0 / 3
0 /
0
|
0 /
4
1 / 3
0 /
1
|
0 /
2
2 / 5
0 /
5
|
0 /
2
2 / 3
0 /
2
|
0 /
5
0 / 2
0 /
4
|
0 /
3
0 / 3
0 /
1
|
0 /
5
0 / 2
1 /
4
|
2 /
7
0 / 2
2 /
6
|
|
We next calculate the tournament index (TI) which factors in a team's performance in tournaments and series (and thereby seeks to better reward wins in 'big' matches). The TI is currently based on a
time 'window' spanning the period Nov 2004 to Nov 2005.
| TABLE C1: POINTS IN ODI TOURNAMENTS WITH AT
LEAST THREE TEAMS (as on Nov 17,
2005) |
| Team |
VB
Series
Jan-Feb 05 |
Indian Oil
Series
Jul-Aug 05 |
Videocon Cup
Aug-Sep 05 |
Score |
| Australia |
2 /
2 |
|
|
2 /
2 |
| England |
|
|
|
0 /
0 |
| India |
|
1 / 2 |
1 / 2 |
2 /
4 |
| New
Zealand |
|
|
2 / 2 |
2 /
2 |
| Pakistan |
1 / 2 |
|
|
1 /
2 |
| South
Africa |
|
|
|
0 /
0 |
| Sri
Lanka |
|
2 / 2 |
|
2 /
2 |
| West
Indies |
0 / 2 |
0 / 2 |
|
0 /
4 |
| Zimbabwe |
|
|
0 / 2 |
0 /
2 |
| TABLE C2: POINTS IN ODI 'TOURNAMENTS' WITH TWO
TEAMS (as on Nov 17, 2005) |
| Team |
Z
vs E
Nov-Dec 04 |
A vs NZ
Dec 04 |
E vs
SA
Feb 05 |
SA vs
Z
Mar 05 |
A vs
NZ
Feb-Mar 05 |
P vs
I
Apr 05 |
SA vs
WI
May 05 |
P vs
WI
May 05 |
E vs
A
Jun-Jul 05 |
NatWest Ch E vs
A
Jul 05 |
SA vs NZ
Oct-Nov 05 |
I vs SL
Oct-Nov 05 |
Score |
| Australia |
|
0.5 / 1 |
|
|
1 / 1 |
|
|
|
0.5 /
1 |
1 /
1 |
|
|
3 /
4 |
| England |
1 /
1 |
|
0 / 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.5 /
1 |
0 /
1 |
|
|
1.5 /
4 |
| India |
|
|
|
|
|
0 / 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 / 1 |
1 /
2 |
| New
Zealand |
|
0.5 / 1 |
|
|
0 / 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0 / 1 |
|
0.5 /
3 |
| Pakistan |
|
|
|
|
|
1 / 1 |
|
1 / 1 |
|
|
|
|
2 /
2 |
| South
Africa |
|
|
1 / 1 |
1 / 1 |
|
|
1 / 1 |
|
|
|
1 / 1 |
|
4 /
4 |
| Sri
Lanka |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 / 1 |
0 /
1 |
| West
Indies |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 / 1 |
0 / 1 |
|
|
|
|
0 /
2 |
| Zimbabwe |
0 / 1 |
|
|
0 / 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 /
2 |
We total up the entries of Tables C1 and C2 in Table C to list
the overall tournament index for all the top nine ODI-playing teams.
| TABLE C: CALCULATION OF THE TOURNAMENT INDEX
(TI; as on Nov 17, 2005) |
| Team |
C1
value |
C2
value |
C1 + C2
|
TI |
| Australia |
2 / 2 |
3 / 4 |
5 / 6 |
83.33 |
| England |
0 / 0 |
1.5 / 4 |
1.5 / 4 |
37.50 |
| India |
2 / 4 |
1 / 2 |
3 / 6 |
50.00 |
| New
Zealand |
2 / 2 |
0.5 / 3 |
2.5 / 5 |
50.00 |
| Pakistan |
1 / 2 |
2 / 2 |
3 / 4 |
75.00 |
| South
Africa |
0 / 0 |
4 / 4 |
4 / 4 |
100.00 |
| Sri
Lanka |
2 / 2 |
0 / 1 |
2 / 3 |
66.67 |
| West
Indies |
0 / 4 |
0 / 2 |
0 / 6 |
0.00 |
| Zimbabwe |
0 / 2 |
0 / 2 |
0 / 4 |
0.00 |
Finally, Table D looks at possible scenarios in the ongoing India-South Africa series.
| TABLE D: POSSIBLE SCENARIOS IN I vs SA ODI SERIES
(as on Nov 17, 2005) |
| Outcome |
SA rating
(currently 59.68) |
India rating
(currently 45.59) |
Remarks
|
| SA win 5-0 |
62.25 |
41.98 |
SA 2, India 6 in rankings |
| SA win 4-1 |
61.45 |
42.79 |
SA 2, India 5 |
| SA win 3-2 |
60.58 |
43.52 |
SA 2, India 5 |
| India win 3-2 |
56.61 |
47.36 |
SA 2, India 5
note jump because of series win |
| India win 4-1 |
55.65 |
47.90 |
SA 2, India 5 |
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top
Design: Imran Shaikh
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