NEWS

Exit polls: BJP to retain UP; AAP to sweep Punjab; tight race in Goa, U'khand

Source:PTI
March 07, 2022

Several exit polls on Monday forecast a clear majority for the Bharatiya Janata Party in Uttar Pradesh and the Aam Aadmi Party in Punjab with some of them giving an edge to the saffron party in Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur.

IMAGE: Prime Minister Narendra Modi and UP Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath gesture during an election rally in Mirzapur on Friday. Photograph: ANI Photo.

Exit polls on CNN News 18, Times Now, India Today, Republic TV, News 24 and News X channels showed the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) getting anywhere between 326 and 211 seats, and its main challenger Samajwadi Party-led alliance getting anywhere between 160 and 71 seats in the 403-member Uttar Pradesh assembly.

UTTAR PRADESH (403 seats)
  BJP+ SP+ CONGRESS BSP
ETG Research 230-245 150-165 2-6 5-10
India News 222-260 135-165 1-3 4-9
India Today- Axis My India 288-326 71-101 1-3 3-9
News 24- Todays Chanakya 294 105 1 2
NewsX-Polstrat 211-225 146-160 4-6 14-24
Republic-P Marq 240 140 4 17
Times Now-VETO 225 151 9 14
Zee News-DESIGNBOXED 223-248 138-157 4-9 5-11
CNN News 18-Matrize 262-277 119-134 NA NA

While India Today-Axis My India predicted 288-326 seats for the BJP and its partners in Uttar Pradesh and 71-101 for the SP alliance, News 24-Today's Chankya predicted 294 seats for the NDA and 105 for the Akhilesh Yadav-led alliance.

News 24-Today's Chanakya predicted 43 per cent vote share for the BJP alliance in Uttar Pradesh and 35 per cent for the SP and its partners.

 

CNN News 18-Matrize predicted 262-277 seats for the BJP and allies and 119-134 for the SP and allies in Uttar Pradesh.

Times Now-Veto predicted 225 and 151 seats for them, respectively.

PUNJAB (117 seats)
  CONGRESS AAP BJP+ SAD+
ABP News-CVoter 22-28 51-61 7-13 20-26
ETG Research 27-33 70-75 3-7 7-13
India News 23-26 39-43 6-8 22-25
India Today- Axis My India 19-31 76-90 1-4 7-11
India TV -Ground Zero Research 49-59 27-37 2-6 20-30
News 24- Todays Chanakya 10 100 1 6
NewsX-Polstrat 24-29 56-61 1-6 22-26
Republic-P Marq 23-31 62-70 1-3 16-24
Times Now-VETO 22 70 5 19
TV 9 Marathi-Polstrat 24-29 56-61 1-6 21-26
Zee News-DESIGNBOXED 26-33 52-61 3-7 24-32

Most of them were also unanimous in predicting a big win for Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP in Punjab, with India Today-Axis projecting up to 76-90 seats in the 117-member assembly.

A few exit polls also forecast a hung assembly in Punjab, the only poll-bound state where the Congress is in power, while giving a clear edge to the AAP.

News 24-Today's Chankaya predicted a wave in the AAP's favour in Punjab, giving it 100 seats with a margin of 10 seats either side. It gave 43 to the BJP and 24 to the Congress in Uttarakhand.

UTTARAKHAND (70 seats)
  BJP CONGRESS AAP OTHERS
ABP News-CVoter 26-32 32-38 0-2 3-7
ETG Research 37-40 29-32 0-1 0-2
India News 32-41 27-35 0-1 0-4
India Today- Axis My India 36-46 20-30 0 4-9
India TV -Ground Zero Research 25-29 37-41 0 2-6
India TV-CNX 35-43 24-32 0 2-4
News 24- Todays Chanakya 43 24 0 3
NewsX-Polstrat 31-33 33-35 0-3 0-2
Republic-P Marq 35-39 28-34 0-3 0-3
Times Now-VETO 37 31 1 1
TV 9 Marathi-Polstrat 31-33 33-35 3 2
Zee News-DESIGNBOXED 26-30 35-40 0 3-6

TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat, however, predicted 56-61 seats for the AAP in Punjab, making it the frontrunner.

The Congress was mostly predicted to be securing the second spot in Punjab.

In Uttarakhand, both the Congress and the BJP were favoured by different exit polls to win the assembly polls.

IMAGE: Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal with Aam Aadmi Party chief ministerial candidate for Punjab assembly elections Bhagwant Mann addresses a press conference, in Amritsar. Photograph: ANI Photo

The ABP News-CVoter forecast an edge for the Congress in Uttarakhand, giving the party 32-38 seats in the 70-member assembly and the BJP 26-32 seats.

Goa was predicted by most pollsters to be heading for a hung assembly.

The BJP was given a clear edge by most exit polls in the election to the 60-member Manipur assembly, with the Congress being seen a distant second.

The BJP is in power in four of the five states.

GOA (40 seats)
  BJP CONGRESS+ TMC+ OTHERS
ABP Majha-C Voter 13-17 12-16 4-9 1-7
ETG Research 17-20 15-17 3-4 2-4
India News 13-19 14-19 3-5 2-5
India Today- Axis My India 14-18 15-20 2-5 0-4
India TV -Ground Zero Research 10-14 20-25 3-5 1-4
India TV-CNX 16-22 11-17 1-2 4-7
NewsX-Polstrat 17-19 11-13 0 3-1
Republic-P Marq 13-17 13-17 2-4 2-10
Times Now-VETO 14 16 0 10
Zee News-DESIGNBOXED 13-18 14-19 2-5 2-6

The exit polls signal that the BJP remains the dominant party in these states and indicate a big swing in the AAP's fortunes as Kejriwal's party is also seen to have emerged as a force in Uttarakhand and Goa where it may corner a decent poll percentage, if not many seats.

Most exit polls also predicted a big fall in the fortunes of Mayawati-led Bahujan Samaj Party and a setback for the Congress, which had hoped to retain power in Punjab and make a comeback in states like Uttarakhand and Goa.

The counting of votes will take place on March 10.

MANIPUR (60 seats)
  BJP CONGRESS OTHERS
ABP Majha-C Voter 23-27 12-16 15-27
India News 23-28 10-14 19-26
India Today- Axis My India 33-43 4-8 10-23
India TV -Ground Zero Research 26-31 12-17 11-22
Republic-P Marq 27-31 11-17 11-23
Zee News-DESIGNBOXED 32-38 12-17 7-14
Source: PTI
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