The more things change, the more they remain the same for corporate India.
In the April-June 2025 period (Q1FY26) — for the ninth consecutive quarter — listed companies witnessed only single-digit revenue growth, while their core earnings, excluding other income and one-time gains, contracted for the second time in four quarters.
This comes as firms brace for the impact of 50 per cent US tariff on Indian goods.
The weakness was broad-based in Q1FY26, with the exception of energy-intensive commodity producers such as steelmakers, cement firms, and oil-marketing companies.
Benefiting from lower energy costs, they managed double-digit profit growth despite subdued revenues.
By contrast, India Inc’s key earnings engines — the firms in the banking, IT services, fast-moving consumer goods, automobile, pharmaceutical, and power sectors — reported muted growth in both sales and profits.
The combined net profit (adjusted for exceptional gains and losses) of 3,031 listed firms declaring results rose 9.4 per cent year-on-year in Q1FY26, the fastest pace in five quarters.
Headline profit climbed to about Rs 3.85 trillion, from Rs 3.52 trillion a year earlier, but fell 3.8 per cent from roughly Rs 4 trillion in Q4FY25.
This apparent resilience was because of exceptional gains, notably Reliance Industries’ Rs 8,924 crore profit from the sale of a 4.9 per cent stake in Asian Paints, and HDFC Bank’s Rs 9,128 crore profit from the sale of its stake in HDB Financial Services via the latter’s intial public offering.
Banks also booked sizeable gains on their investment portfolios. State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Punjab National Bank, Axis Bank, Canara Bank, and Bank of India were among lenders reporting a sharp increase in treasury income after the Reserve Bank of India cut rates last quarter.
Excluding such one-offs and other income, however, core profit before tax slipped 0.2 per cent year-on-year to about Rs 3.42 trillion, compared with Rs 3.43 trillion in Q1FY25 and Rs 3.47 trillion in Q4FY25.
Other income for listed companies rose 24.3 per cent year-on-year to Rs 2.04 trillion, against Rs 1.64 trillion a year earlier and Rs 2.22 trillion in the previous quarter.
The more pressing concern for business leaders and investors is the prolonged weakness in corporate revenues.
Combined net sales -- gross interest income in the case of lenders --rose 6 per cent year-on-year in Q1FY26, the slowest since the September 2023 quarter.
That marked the ninth straight quarter of single-digit growth, averaging just 6.9 per cent year-on-year since June 2023 and lagging nominal GDP growth by nearly 400 basis points.
India’s GDP at current prices expanded at an average of 10.9 per cent between June 2023 and March 2025, according to the National Statistics Office.
Official figures for April–June 2025 are yet to be released.
Aggregate net sales rose to Rs 37.95 trillion in Q1FY26 from Rs 35.82 trillion in Q1FY24, but were down 3.5 per cent from Rs 39.32 trillion in Q4FY25.
Non-financial firms fared worse: Excluding banks, financial services companies and insurers (BFSI), combined net sales increased just 5.3 per cent over the past year, compared with 6.5 per cent growth in Q1FY25 and 6.7 per cent in Q4FY25.
The 2,474 non-BFSI companies in the sample reported combined net sales of Rs 29.72 trillion, up from Rs 28.02 trillion a year earlier but down 3.9 per cent from Rs 30.91 trillion in Q4FY25.
Their adjusted net profit rose 10.2 per cent year-on-year to Rs 2.51 trillion, but fell 6.6 per cent from Rs 2.69 trillion in Q4FY25.
Core profit before tax for this group was up 7.4 per cent to Rs 2.7 trillion from Rs 2.51 trillion in Q1FY25.
The figure was Rs 2.78 trillion in Q4FY25.
Excluding both BFSI and oil and gas -- including Reliance Industries -- the picture was even more subdued.
Combined net sales of this group grew 7.3 per cent year-on-year to Rs 21.8 trillion, the slowest in three quarters, marking a ninth successive period of single-digit expansion.
Their headline net profit rose 7 per cent year-on-year to Rs 2.02 trillion, the slowest pace in nine quarters, while core PBT rose only 3.9 per cent to Rs 2.24 trillion.
Analysts warn of further headwinds.
“The June 2025 quarter was the first to reflect the impact of the initial round of tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump,” said Dhananjay Sinha, co-head of research and equity strategy at Systematix Institutional Equity.
“The pressure is likely to intensify in coming quarters as the US president expands his trade war and imposes additional tariffs on Indian exports.”