The axe might fall on electronic goods and other consumer durables but the worry is that it might just be a drop in the ocean of India’s current account woes.
An internal committee of the ministry has prepared a list of the top 400 goods in India’s imports by value.
Of these, it is short-listing goods not used for any productive purposes and meant for final consumption. LCD/LED televisions, refrigerators, air conditioners, washing machines, watches, mobile phones, laptops, computers, tablets, cars, pearls, precious and semi-precious stones could be some of these.
A duty rise would deal a double blow to importers, as these products have already become expensive due to rupee depreciation.
The dilemma before the government, however, is that some items, such as imported cars and liquor, are already attracting high duties, while many are goods with inelastic demand and a further rise in duty would not help curb their imports.
After removing all such goods, the items which qualify are too small a part of the total import to make any significant impact.
“All white goods can be classified as luxury items but these are not a significant portion of total imports,” said a finance ministry official, who did not wish to be identified.
At $31 billion, electronic goods comprised 6.3 per cent of the total imports of $490 billion in 2012-13.
Pearls, precious and semi-precious stones were $22 billion or 4.4 per cent of the total imports.
Petroleum, gold and machinery comprised 34.4 per cent, 11 per cent and 5.5 per cent of the imports, respectively.
Bipin Sapra, tax partner at EY,
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