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14 stocks to watch out for!
By SI Team in Mumbai
December 20, 2004 12:19 IST

The fundamentals of the 14 stocks summarised below are part of the portfolio of 19 stocks shortlisted by the research house based on their business credentials and ability to produce super-normal returns.

Bharat Earth Movers

Current price: Rs 340.75

Price-earnings ratio: 51.63

BEML is the largest manufacturer of earth moving equipment in India and the second largest in Asia. It manufactures heavy earthmovers, rail coaches, military tanks, heavy-duty trucks, trailers and high-powered diesel engines.

Its products find application in all infrastructure segments, mining and defense. It has manufacturing units at Bangalore and Mysore. The company plans to diversify into underground mining equipment and leasing and financial services.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 340.75, which discounts its FY04 earnings by nearly 51.63 times -- BEML also gets a near monopoly stauts in the domestic market. Overall recovery and growth of the economy will create huge demand for its products.

Hence, the prospects of this company are very good for the coming years. We expect it to post a robust growth in earnings on the back of cost efficiencies. A potential multi-bagger.

Hero Honda

Current price: Rs 508.7

Price-earnings ratio: 13.94

The company enjoys the status of India's largest two-wheeler company. Its product range includes Karizma, Ambition 135, CBZ, Splendor, Splendor+, Passion+, CD100SS, CD100 and CD DAWN. It exports to around 31 countries.

It is the first two-wheeler company to cross Rs 50 billion in sales in FY04. During this period its volumes also surged by around 23.4 per cent, which is a record in itself.

Outlook: The company's stock currently trades at Rs 508.7 which discounts its FY04 earnings by 13.94 times. The automobile industry is on a growth trajectory and considering the fact that Hero Honda is the leader in the two-wheeler industry in India it is in a better position to leverage this growth.

The company is consistently showing good performance and in FY04 it has been successful in regaining its market share. Hence the stock looks attractive at the current valuations taking into consideration its growth potential.

A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years to approach the 20 per cent mark.

ACC

Current price: Rs 316.80

Price-earnings ratio: 28.05

ACC is involved in manufacturing and marketing of cement, readymix concrete, refractories and refractory products. It is also into consultancy and engineering services.

Its manufacturing base consists of 14-cement plants spread all over India, two refractory plants - one each at Maharashtra and MP - and 6 RMC plants near to four metros of India and Bangalore.

The company meets around 83 per cent of its power requirements through its captive power plants. Its marketing is done through a network of 11 regional marketing offices, 16 area offices and 160 warehouses.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 316.80, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 28.05 times. There are huge prospects of cement industry growth in the coming years. Housing and infrastructure are the key demand drivers for the cement sector.

ACC being one of the oldest and largest cement players is in a good position to leverage this growth. It's thrust on divesting non-core business activities is also providing additional benefits to the company. Another solid stock, which should comfortably provide 25 per cent plus earnings CAGR during the current fiscal and next.

Ahmedabad Electricity Co

Current price: Rs 120

Price-earnings ratio: 16.22

AEC has a transmission and distribution network having a generating capacity of 500 mw. Besides the generation and distribution of electricity, the company's power services division undertakes project management of power plants, electrical installation contracts and operation and maintenance assignments of other power stations in the country.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 120, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 16.22 times. The overall industrial growth will increase the requirement of power.

Also, the company has taken various measures to upgrade its system network. It has also undertaken various power projects. There is huge growth potential for this company. The earnings CAGR over the next two years is likely to exceed the 25 per cent mark.

Grasim Industries

Current price: Rs 1269.75

Price-earnings ratio: 14.94

Starting operations in 1947, a manufacturer of textiles from imported raw materials, Grasim Industries has successfully diversified into manufacturing of viscose staple fibre, cement, sponge iron and chemicals. Recently it has taken over the cement division of L&T.

After the merger of the L&T's cement division known as Ultra Tech Cemco with Grasim, it will achieve the position of market leader in the cement business. The company has successful joint ventures abroad that include a viscose staple fibre plant in Thailand and Indonesia and carbon black plants in Thailand and Egypt and pulp plant in Canada.

Outlook: The company's stock currently trades at Rs 1269.75 which discounts its FY04 earnings by 14.94 times. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years likely to push the 30 per cent mark.

HCL Infosystems

Current price: Rs 801.20

Price-earnings ratio: 41.51

HCL Infosystems is one of the pioneers in the Indian IT market. The company manufactures computer systems at Noida, Uttar Pradesh and computer peripherals at Chennai. It also manufactures multi-user super-minis and engineering workstations, the technology for which is being provided by Hewlett Packard Co, US.

The company has got a wide distribution network and enjoys the status of largest hardware vendor.

Outlook: The company's stock currently trades at Rs 801.20, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 41.51 times. The hardware sector has very low penetration levels in India, which provides it with enough opportunities for growth.

With the current boost in the IT sector along with the increased IT awareness and overall recovery in the economy there is huge potential for a further growth of this sector.

It is amongst the top three hardware companies in India and with its wide distribution network it has got huge potential to leverage IT growth. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years likely to exceed the 25 per cent mark.

ICI (India)

Current price: Rs 220.55

Price-earnings ratio: 8.26

ICI (India) manufactures and markets paints, speciality chemicals, rubber chemicals, adhesives and starch. It markets its paints under the brand name Dulux. ICIL's adhesive products have significant marketshare in book-binding, soap wrapper and wood working. Its polymers are used in the personal care segment and starches are used by the FMCG industry.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 220.55, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 8.26 times. Housing sector is on a growth trajectory. This will have a positive impact on the paints industry with the exterior segment likely to maintain its fast growth.

The company already enjoys leadership position in polyurethane-based automotive refinishes. Hence growth of the automobile industry will also open new growth avenues for the company.

It is well positioned to improve its share in the growing market due to its extensive R&D capability, innovation and market reach. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years to breach the 15 per cent mark.

Cadila Healthcare

Current price: Rs 571.45

Price-earnings ratio: 25.06

Cadila Healthcare's operations include pharmaceuticals, diagnostics and herbal skin-care and OTC products.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 571.45, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 25.06 times. The company's various initiatives along with its internationally approved manufacturing facilities and increased focus on research and development will enable it to accelerate its entry into the global regulated generics market.

The company is expected to further improve its market position through new product launches.  A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years set to comfortably exceed the 20 per cent mark.

Ashok Leyland

Current price: Rs 21.90

Price-earnings ratio: 13.69

ALL, the flagship company of the Hinduja group, is the second-largest manufacturer of medium and heavy-duty vehicles in India. It is also into the manufacture of industrial marine engines. Its manufacturing facilities are located at Ennore, Ambattur, Hosur, Bhandara, Hyderabad and Alwar. It has launched a new range of intermediate commercial vehicles, which fall between the light and heavy class.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 21.90, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 13.69 times. CV industry saw a good recovery in the previous year. This growth is expected to continue in the coming years as well.

Ashok Leyland benefited from this demand growth as it achieved record profits in FY04. Being the second largest manufacturer of medium and heavy-duty vehicles in India the company has got enough potential to scale new heights. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years to set comfortably exceed the 20 per cent mark.

Container Corporation

Current price: Rs 803.40

Price-earnings ratio: 19.31

Concor has a network of inland container depots all over the country. It is a carrier, terminal and warehouse operator.  The company owns about 2000 containers and has around 2500 containers on lease.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 803.40, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 19.31 times. Concor has many positives for its advantage. It enjoys a near monopoly in container services through rail route.

Completion of the Golden Quadrilateral will result in a further increase in traffic. Therefore the future prospects of the company look very attractive. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years to approach the 15 per cent mark.

Bajaj Auto

Current price: Rs 1062.70

Price-earnings ratio: 14.70

Bajaj Auto has a strong presence in the manufacturing and marketing of scooters, motorcycles, and three wheelers. Their motorcycle range comprises of Bajaj BYK, Boxer, CT100, Caliber 115, Wind125, Pulsar and Eliminator. Their scooter range comprises of Chetak, Super, Legend, Spirit, and M80 Major. Its three-wheeler range comprises of FE DAC 2S, FE Delivery van 2S and FE Pickup van 2S.

Outlook: The stock is currently trading at Rs 1062.70, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 14.7 times. With the success of the CT100 at the entry level and the expected launch of the K-60 September in the executive segment, BAL is set to achieve new heights.

The automobile industry is set to grow in the coming years and BAL with its business and company specific advantages as well as new launches is in a good position to leverage this growth potential. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years set to comfortably exceed the 20 per cent mark.

Infosys Technologies

Current price: Rs 2089.10

Price-earnings ratio: 45.02

Infosys Technologies is mainly engaged in custom software development, maintenance, re-engineering services, e-commerce and internet consulting as well as dedicated offshore software development centre for certain clients. It also develops and markets certain company owned software products.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 2089.10, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 45.02 times. Infosys has a track record of delivering above investor's expectations over the years.

Information Technology has still got a huge potential to grow and Infosys is certainly in a better position to leverage this growth potential. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years likely to push the 30 per cent mark.

Crompton Greaves

Current price: Rs 268.15

Price-earnings ratio: 19.86

The company is mainly concentrated in power and industrial systems, consumer products and digital businesses. It is engaged in manufacture, distribution and sale of electrical and electronic equipments. Its products include transformers, switchgear, motors and fans.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 268.15, which discounts its FY04 earnings by 19.86 times. There are huge prospects for power sector and industrial sector growth in the coming years, which will certainly result in demand augmentation for transmission and distribution equipment.  Crompton Greaves, being the largest private sector company in the sector, has huge growth prospects. Another prospective 25 per cent plus CAGR earnings growth company.

Finolex Cables

Current price: Rs 160.95

Price-earnings ratio: 16.59

Finolex Cables is engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of cables that are used in a wide range of electrical and communication applications.

Outlook: The stock currently trades at Rs 160.95, which discounts its FY04 earnings by nearly 16.59 times. TDemand outlook for electrical cables is quite positive. The government's initiatives in the agriculture sector and for managing water scarcity are expected to boost the demand for winding wire and 3 core flat cables.

Continued growth in the automobile sector is expected to increase demand for automotive wires and battery cables. Spurt in domestic construction activity will help the company to increase its market share in this business.

The industrial recovery would boost the demand for flexible wires, power and control cables. The company being a leader is expected to grow in the coming years along with the overall growth of the economy. A potentially high growth story with earnings CAGR over the next two years to approach the 15 per cent mark.

SI Team in Mumbai
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