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Goldman Sachs cuts India GDP, rupee forecasts

September 03, 2013 15:15 IST
By Subhadip Sircar

Goldman Sachs joins the downgrading bandwagon, sharply cutting India's gross domestic product forecast to 4 percent from 6 percent for FY14 and to 5.4 per cent from 6.8 per cent for FY15.

Goldman says the downgrade reflects the more difficult external funding conditions for Asia as markets increasingly anticipate Fed tapering and eventual exit from unconventional monetary policies.

Investment bank also puts out more bearish forecasts for the rupee, expecting the currency to trade at 70 in three months, at 72 in six months and back to 70 in 12 months.

"We think that there could be some risks of near-term overshooting of our targets if economic and financing conditions worsen, and especially if there are pressures on the banking and corporate sectors due to weakness in growth," it said.

Goldman downgrades comes after Nomura and HSBC also cut their forecasts for India this week.

Subhadip Sircar in Mumbai
Source:

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