Hike import duty on finished products; Rationalize excise Duty on Molasses to 8% ad valorem or Rs. 375/PMT and on Naphtha to 8%, cut corporate tax to 25%, service tax to 5%.
Current status
Chemical industry is an important constituent of the Indian economy. Its size is estimated at around US$ 35 billion approx., which is equivalent to about 3% of India's GDP. The total investment in Indian chemical sector is approx. US$ 60 billion and total employment generated is about 1 million. The Indian chemical sector accounts for 13-14% of total exports and 8-9% of total imports of the country.
In terms of volume, it is 12th largest in the world and 3rd largest in Asia. Currently, per capita consumption of products of chemical industry in India is about 1/10th of the world average. Over the last decade, the Indian chemical industry has evolved from being a basic chemical producer to becoming an innovative industry. With investments in R&D, the industry is registering significant growth in the knowledge sector comprising of specialty chemicals, fine chemicals and pharmaceuticals.
Industry expectation
Customs duty
Customs duty (Import duty) on most of the chemical products has been rapidly brought down. For polymers it is 5% and for most of the chemicals, it is at 7.5%, almost lowest in the world. Whereas, in case of inputs, India has one of the highest rates, thereby placing the industry at a severe handicap as compared to overseas producers. In above context industry expects:
Excise duty
Direct taxes
Others
Government may create Technology up-gradation fund (TUF), which can be used to support technology up-gradation initiatives in SME sector.
Government should not commit to participate in any of the FTA in the current global meltdown
Analysts expectation
It is likely that the import duty on input materials would be maintained at the current levels. However many finished products with lower import duty compared to duty on input materials may be increased.
Stock to watch
BOC India; Beck India; Foseco India; BASF India; Industrial Organics
Outlook
Indian economy is passing through a difficult phase due to global economic meltdown. Due to this global meltdown demand destruction is widespread across US, EU, China and Middle East leading to excess capacity across many product segments of the Chemical industry. Chemical industry players from Middle East countries with their huge feedstock cost advantage are looking at India as an attractive destination for their products since export demand from China, Europe and other traditional destinations have dried-up. Indian economy has been rapidly opened up to global suppliers while internal reforms are progressing at a relatively much slower pace. This has made local market more accessible to overseas suppliers than to Indian producers. It is in this context Industry expects major support from the government to remain in business.